Week 10 of the 2019 NFL season is just about here and with it comes another action-packed football schedule. It all begins on Thursday Night Football with an AFC West rivalry game between the Chargers and Raiders. That leads into a relatively light Sunday slate, with only 11 contests on tap due to a slew of byes for some of the league’s most popular teams. There is still plenty to be excited about, however, including the latest chapter of the Meadowlands rivalry between the Jets and Giants at 1 p.m. ET and a big bout between NFC playoff contenders in the Panthers and Packers come the late afternoon. Week 10 will conclude with an excellent pair of excellent primetime matchups, featuring the Vikings taking on the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football and a Monday Night Football game that will showcase the Seahawks trying to dethrone the undefeated 49ers in an NFC West rivalry battle.
If you are looking for assistance in betting on these games or just looking for some slam-dunk predictions for your picks pool, then look no further than this article. Pro handicapper Jon Price of SportsInformationTraders.com has sent along a handful of his top picks for Sunday’s daytime matchups, including a deep dive into his best bet for the week. Before checking out those against the spread predictions, take a look at the complete schedule, start times viewing information, opening odds, relevant betting trends and much more for Week 10 of the 2019 NFL season.
Week 10 Byes: Denver Broncos, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, New England Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles, Washington Redskins
Thursday Night Football live streamed via Amazon Prime, Sunday Night Football via NBC Sports and Monday Night Football via WatchESPN
NFL Week 10 Betting Trends
- The New York Giants have won and covered in five of their last six matchups with the New York Jets. Gang Green did win and beat the number in the most recent showdown, however, but isn’t expected to get any sort of streak going as a 2.5-point underdog for this Week 10 showdown in MetLife Stadium.
- The New Orleans Saints are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three meetings with the Atlanta Falcons. The Saints swept the two contests in this NFC South rivalry last year and are heavily favored to continue their winning ways on Sunday. New Orleans has opened as 13-point chalk for this upcoming bout, which is the largest spread on the Week 10 schedule by a good margin.
- The Chicago Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Detroit Lions, although are just 3-3 SU in that same span. The Bears are suffering through a disappointing 2019 NFL season—with an underwhelming 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS record at the midpoint—but are projected to improve with a “W” on Sunday against an NFC North rival they are facing for the first time this year. If the last few seasons and 2.5-point spread are any indication, this could be a closely contested bout, although Chicago has clearly been a more reliable side for bettors with an 83.3% cover rate in this series dating back to 2016.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three clashes with the Los Angeles Rams. These teams have met infrequently throughout the years, with their last contest resulting in a 12-6 Steelers victory back in 2015. The Rams will be favored on the road in Week 10, laying 3.5 points to a Pittsburgh foe that they have not bested since 2003.
- The Carolina Panthers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games against the Green Bay Packers. These teams have engaged in some great battles over the last decade, with all but one of the matchups decided by a single score. The Panthers also hold a 3-2 SU edge since 2008, but Green Bay could level that up by coming through for backers as five-point favorites at Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon.
NFL Week 10 Best Bet
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers
The Packers and Panthers are gearing up for a Week 10 clash that will likely play a role in shaping the postseason picture in the NFC. These two playoff contenders have become rather familiar with one another over the last decade or so, having met five times since 2008. The Panthers have won three of the games in that span, including the two most recent matchups. They aren’t favored to push that streak to three in a row, however, as they are currently going off as five-point underdogs at most shops.
The line for this contest initially opened with the Packers laying a touchdown, but early sharp action on the Panthers pushed the line down by a pair of points. The public disagrees with the wiseguys on the spread, as 64% of all bets against it are for Green Bay. The handle is nearly an even split, however, with the Pack holding the slightest of edges in terms of money with 51% of it coming in on their side. The total for this Week 10 matchup is also polarizing, as it opened at 48 points but dropped down to 47 despite 63% of all tickets backing the over. The bigger bettors like the under here though, evidenced by 50% of the cash on that side of the bet.
Odds Shark noted that these have been two of the best teams against the number during the 2019 NFL season:
One major storyline leading up to this Week 10 game is Carolina’s decision to shut down quarterback Cam Newton for the remainder of the 2019 NFL season. Newton started just two games this year before being sidelined following the team’s loss to the Buccaneers back in Week 2. The veteran signal-caller was 0-2 in his starts this year, but the team has since rallied behind backup Kyle Allen, who has compiled a 5-1 record since taking over for Newton. Allen, who joined the team as an undrafted rookie last year out of Houston, has amassed 1,291 passing yards and nine touchdowns in those six games while also getting the organization on track to make the postseason. The young QB is now gearing up to face one of his toughest tests of the season, being tasked with going into Lambeau Field and snatching a victory against the 7-2 Packers.
Panthers general manager Marty Hurney recently shed light on the organization’s decision to place Newton on injured reserve (via NYTimes.com):
He saw two foot specialists last week who agreed that he should continue that path prescribed by the team’s medical staff, and that it likely will take significant time for the injury to fully heal. We have said all along that it is impossible to put a timetable on this injury. Nobody is more frustrated with that fact than Cam. At this time, we have decided that the best decision to reach the goal of bringing the foot back to 100% is to place Cam on injured reserve.
Warren Sharp pointed out that the Panthers aren’t the only team that has succeeded without their starting quarterback this year:
Not only are the Packers hungry for revenge after losing to the Panthers in their last meeting, a 31-24 loss in December of 2017, but this will also be Green Bay’s sole home game in a stretch that began October 21st and won’t end until December 7th. The home crowd will almost certainly be raucous, while temperatures are expected to hover in the freezing range around kickoff time. It’s worth noting that the last time the Packers went 48 or more days with just a single home game was back in 2010, which was the same year that they went on to win the Super Bowl out of the NFC’s Wild Card spot.
The Packers have done well against Carolina in general, going 9-6 all-time against them, but have been especially potent when the action shifts to Lambeau Stadium. They boast a 4-2 record against this foe at home and have scored 30-plus points in five of those six games. Star quarterback Aaron Rodgers has been a big reason behind Green Bay’s sustained home success and he’s playing great inside the confines of Lambeau Stadium this year especially. The signal-caller boasts a passer rating of 109.1 at home, which ranks as the fourth-best mark in the league for the 2019 NFL season. He’s guided the Packers to a 15-3-1 record over their last 19 home games as well, which makes them one of the toughest teams to beat when hosting.
Interestingly enough, the Packers haven’t even had a chance to return home since a mid-October meeting with the Lions, having traveled to London to take on the Raiders as the defacto ‘home’ side, before a bye week that was followed by back-to-back matchups with the Chiefs and Chargers in their digs. Rodgers believes that his club simply ran out of gas at the end of that stretch—culminating in a disappointing 26-11 defeat to the Bolts last week—and sounded relieved to be heading to Lambeau Field in Week 10 with a chance to get back on track (via USA Today):
It was one of those perfect storms, if you will. We had a long trip. I don’t think we were as dialed in as we’ve been in the past. We played a team that their ability and their focus and their will didn’t match their record. That’s a team that won 12 games last year. Good football team. Great veteran quarterback. A lot of pride on both sides of the ball. They played harder and played smarter and played with more focus, and we took it on the chin…It can be good for you when you take a bad loss like that, if you respond. Hopefully, we have the leadership and grit to respond properly. It just wasn’t a good trip for us and wasn’t a good game obviously.
It’s hard to fault the Packers for not giving 100% in their endeavors against the Chargers, given all the travel—including that trip across the pond—the team has endured. With a much-needed pit stop at home before hitting the road again, it’s difficult to envision a scenario in which Green Bay plays as lethargically as it did this past Sunday. As Rodgers mentioned, the Packers will use that loss as motivation to get through another extended road trip that is upcoming during the back half of the 2019 NFL season.
While the Panthers have been a strong team this year, and surprisingly competent with Allen at the helm of the offense, they could struggle to get things going at frigid Lambeau Field in Week 10. They have been relying on MVP candidate Christian McCaffrey to shoulder a great majority of the offensive load and their defense has been suspect, although that hasn’t been as noticeable due to their ability to create turnovers. Those won’t come easy against Rodgers, who hasn’t thrown an interception since Week 6 and has just two on the season. The Packers as a team have just seven giveaways during the 2019 NFL season, the third least in the league, and rank No. 3 in turnover differential at plus-seven.
While five points might seem like a lot to lay, this will be a different Green Bay team than the one that just sputtered out in Los Angeles. They’re more than capable of covering, especially with the home crowd finally back on their side, favorable field conditions and temperatures that will slow down the Carolina offense.
Pick: Packers -5
Prediction: Packers 24 – Panthers 17
Bonus Week 10 Picks
Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns
Pick: Bills +2.5
New York Giants at New York Jets
Pick: Giants -2.5
Los Angeles Rams at Pittsburgh Steelers
Pick: Steelers +3.5