Tips and race-by-race preview for Coffs Harbour on Thursday


An eight-race card is scheduled for Coffs Harbour on Thursday.

An eight-race card is scheduled for Coffs Harbour on Thursday.Credit:Morgan Hancock

Race 2 3YO MAIDEN PLATE (1200m)

Decent depth in this at set weights, and plenty of hopes headed by Newcastle filly 8. Hard Lady who did her best work late from a wide barrier resuming at Scone behind a promising one, and this looks an ideal follow-up race from a better draw.

Dangers: Gelding and former Victorian 5. Spirit In The Sky chased hard as a well-fancied favourite at his first run for leading Port Macquarie stable, but couldn’t haul in the leader. More acclimatised now and down 1.5kg from that effort. Murwillumbah gelding 1. Bells Approaching let punters down in a tight finish resuming as an odds-on favourite at Grafton, but will be competitive from the inside draw, with the blinkers coming off. Gold Coast filly 6. Beachbreak hit the line nicely resuming, and draws to get a good trail just off the speed. Watch the market on local gelding 2. Furphy who was outclassed in two runs across hot maiden company mid-year, and trial was only fair so likely to need the run; while three-year-old Grafton gelding 3. Letemgo comes out of that same race as Bells Approaching when unwanted in betting, but finished hard into second place, and more experienced rider goes on.

How to play it: Hard Lady each-way and quinella 5 and 8
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1400m)

Up a little in trip now for the maidens again at set weights, but this is much thinner and naturally wide open. Local four-year-old mare 11. The Actress dropped right out last start over a longer journey so trainer has taken the winkers off and brought her back to a trip that she had found the line nicely in previous two runs in handy company. Draws to get an economic run tucked away on the fence and be produced early in the straight.

Dangers: Local five-year-old mare 6. Dawn Thunder loves to lead, and while she’s been run over at shorter trips this prep, might be able to get away with cheaper sectionals here. Expect sharp improvement at third run from local three-year-old gelding 5. On Top Once More who hasn’t done much so far, but will appreciate the longer trip in a weaker race; while stablemate four-year-old gelding 1. Arlington Valley is also suited at 1400m after finishing on from well back first-up at Ballina. Local five-year-old mare 7. Lolly Dolly hasn’t been far away in her last couple despite drifting in betting, although must be a query at this distance.

How to play it: The Actress each-way
Odds and Evens: Odds

Race 4 CL3 HCP – HEAT OF THE RISING STAR (1400m)

Competitive race with plenty of chances. Consistent four-year-old local gelding 2. Lose The Snip looks well placed from the inside draw, and claiming 2kg. Fought hard to win a class 2 at Grafton before holding his own in consecutive highways, and hard fit looks right in the race.

Dangers: Improving five-year-old Port Macquarie mare 5. Our Girl Babs desperately needs the step back up in trip after making up some late ground behind a smart winner in a BM 66, and gets in under the limit weight after rider’s 3kg claim. Newcastle four-year-old mare 6. Mill City is still improving, and was scratched from Tamworth on Tuesday to be saved for this. Attacked the line from well back two runs ago at Muswellbrook before outclassed in stronger metro grade. Back to more suitable class and draws well. Grafton five-year-old gelding 7. Midweek Hustler has frustrated punters going under as favourite in his last three, and while he looks well in at the weights, has to overcome a wide barrier. Local four-year-old mare 8. Serene Beauty is suited at this journey with a light weight after sweeping home to win a weaker class 1 at Grafton; while six-year-old Taree mare and perennial place-getter 4. Natural Image has hit the line well in her past three, and gets in only 0.5kg over the limit after jockey’s claim.

How to play it: Lose The Snip to win and first four 2,5,6/2,4,5,6,7,8/2,4,5,6,7,8/2,4,5,6,7,8
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 5 BM 58 HCP (1600m)

Tough race, with a stack of chances. Kempsey six-year-old gelding 3. I’ve Got This is primed for the mile now after finishing well in his last three, and comes back from a much tougher BM 82 behind Mister Smartee. Has a terrific strike rate this track, winning three from six.

Dangers: Progressive three-year-old Newcastle gelding 8. Controlthewitness can peak here fourth-up after finishing hard this grade at Scone when $6.00 into $4.80, but will be forced a long way back from a wide gate. Ballina six-year-old gelding 6. Tycoon Rossa comes back to his pet distance after battling on okay last start, and three runs back ran over the top of Lily Of China this grade, and that horse was a dominant winner at Grafton on Sunday. Port Macquarie five-year-old gelding 1. The Kroc broke a long drought in a class 3 at Kempsey before finding a BM 64 at Gosford too tough. Back to the mile won’t hurt under a whopping 62kg, but almost looks weighted out of the contest. Rival Port five-year-old 2. Condover Hall chased home The Kroc two back before getting home as a well backed favourite in the right race at home, but also facing a tough task up in weight and drawn wide. Improving five-year-old Grafton gelding 5. Wu Long Shi flew home to make it two wins from his last five in a weaker BM 58; while five-year-old gelding Luga Lad finished off okay over the mile at Quirindi in his first run for new Newcastle stable since transferring from Canberra.

How to play it: I’ve Got This each-way
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 6 BM 66 HCP (1200m)

Promising four-year-old Gold Coast stallion 4. Invincore is the one on the rise, and looks well placed third-up after proving too good for Magnalane at Grafton, who bolted in as a hot favourite at Taree on Monday.

Dangers: After four placings in his past five, five-year-old Gladstone gelding 1. San Marco can break back into the winner’s stall. Has chased home Upper East Side and Mr Grumpy, who ran a race record in his last two this grade, but meets a thinner field here, and loves this track having only missed a place once in seven starts. Big watch on five-year-old Inverell mare 5. Rubel, having her first start in more than a year. Had built a nice winning strike rate, and trialled well, but this is a tough assignment after so long out. Taree seven-year-old mare 3. Eyebea Danser improved lengths second-up, splitting Mr Grumpy and San Marco in that same race, and draws the same barrier. Local five-year-old gelding 10. Brother Magic has returned after a year out in terrific fashion winning two of three up to class 2 level, but taking on some tougher sprinters here; while six-year-old Port Macquarie gelding 9. Triage steps up in class and down a little in weight after solid BM 58 form.

How to play it: Invincore to win and quinella 1 and 4
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 7 CL1 HCP (1300m)

Another very open battle, although keen on four-year-old Warwick Farm mare 8. Cadence, who comes back in class after finishing close-up in consecutive BM 64s at Hawkesbury and Kembla, and is treated OK at the weights, with top country rider booked.

Dangers: Promising four-year-old Murwillumbah gelding 2. Terzo Millenio charged away to win his maiden at third start, and bred to get over further so just needs some cover from an awkward barrier to be in the finish. Grafton five-year-old gelding 1. Barbary will need plenty of breaks from a wide barrier, but should be peaking fourth-up after chasing home the smart Invincore last start; while local four-year-old gelding 4. Beat That comes out of that same race when right on the heels of Invincore after cruising home to win his maiden at Lismore the start before. Blinkers go on, but like most of the fancies is drawn wide. Rival local four-year-old 6. Bugalugs has been in and around the placings this grade all prep; while four-year-old Gold Coast gelding 7. Painted Wolf should be right at his peak now after four runs back, but another who has to negotiate a horror draw.

How to play it: Cadence each-way
Odds and Evens: Evens

Race 8 COUNTRY ONLY CL2 PLATE (1000m)

Highly competitive sprint to finish. Believe what you see with five-year-old local mare 5. Alternative Facts having her first run in nine months. Normally fires fresh, and sat off the speed in a recent trial before circling and careering away under a hold to win by more than eight lengths.

Dangers: Progressive three-year-old local gelding 4. Moonhawk resumed with a dominant class 1 win at Grafton, and is unbeaten second-up. Promising three-year-old Murwillumbah gelding 12. Keen Power looks a big threat after bolting in on debut at Ballina as an odds-on favourite, and drops 2kg for this step up in grade; while four-year-old Port Macquarie gelding 1. Acoustix resumes without a public trial and is drawn wide, but has a solid first-up record.

How to play it: Alternative Facts each-way and box exacta 4,5,12
Odds and Evens: Split

BEST BETS:
R2 8. HARD LADY
R8 5. ALTERNATIVE FACTS

BEST VALUE:
R7 8. CADENCE

Tips supplied by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au

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